President Donald Trump’s latest campaign messages are setting the tone for what many conservatives believe will be a decisive 2024 victory.
According to early voting data and a boost in the polls, Trump has made it clear that he’s optimistic about his lead, signaling confidence in a win that could surpass expectations.
Longtime political journalist and editor-in-chief of the 2WAY video platform, Mark Halperin, weighed in on the early indicators, claiming, “If the early vote numbers stay the way they are, and that’s a big if, we’ll almost certainly know before Election Day who’s going to win.”
“[M]ake no mistake, if these numbers hold up in the states where we can understand even partially what the data is like, we’ll know that Donald Trump’s going to be president on Election Day,” he added.
In Florida, more Republicans have voted early than the Democrats. Miami-Dade County – a crucial county in Florida – officially flipped Republican in early and mail-in voting, according to Florida’s Voice News.
In Nevada, where Democrats have traditionally depended on strong early voting to offset Republican turnout on Election Day, around 6,000 more Republicans than Democrats had voted early this year by Tuesday, according to AP.
Donald Trump would only need to pick off 3 or 4 of these states to win the election outright – a clean sweep would hand him well over 300 electoral votes, likely eclipsing his 2016 electoral college landslide victory over Hillary Clinton (304).
Real Clear Politics’ national aggregate has the 45th President behind Kamala Harris by a diminutive 0.2 percentage points – a reduction from 0.6 points just a few days ago (with internal polling reportedly showing even better results).
The last four national polls, capped off by Wall Street Journal’s survey released on October 24th, has President Trump outright leading nationally by a significant 3 points — with surging approval ratings to boot.
BREAKING : Kamala Harris’ national lead on @RCPolitics now at a DIMINUTIVE 0.2% (a decrease from 0.6%).
On this date in 2020, Biden had an 8.1% advantage over Trump, and Hillary had a 5.5% advantage over Trump in 2016.
Trends STRONGLY favoring Donald Trump – buoyed by… pic.twitter.com/ysGs57Iqrd
— Paul Ingrassia (@PaulIngrassia) October 24, 2024
Here’s more:
Trump is leading in every single battleground state pic.twitter.com/Jh9az0gin0
— Karli Bonne’ (@KarluskaP) October 25, 2024
NEW POLL: Trump leads Latinos by 11 points nationally. pic.twitter.com/5PMzCH7TZQ
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 22, 2024
BREAKING: Donald Trump is on the verge of FLIPPING the national popular vote in his favor.
He is at a career-high heading into an election – Kamala Harris leads by *0.2 points.*
At this point in 2020, it was Biden+8.1. pic.twitter.com/2bWGYJsVQl
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 24, 2024
BREAKING — Trump takes the lead The Economist’s election forecast
Trump 54%
Harris 45% pic.twitter.com/afzaraueeA— Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) October 21, 2024
11 DAYS TO GO… TRUMP IS DOMINATING OVER HARRIS
2024 Election (Odds to Win)
Trump 61.5% (+22.8)
Harris 38.7%He continues to lead in all 7 swing states. pic.twitter.com/yYzL2BybR7
— Election Time (@ElectionTime_) October 24, 2024
On Thursday, Trump took to the stage in Arizona, a crucial battleground state, where USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll shows him holding a six-point lead over Harris, with a 48% to 42% margin.
Trump spoke passionately to an energized crowd, predicting a “big win” in November.
He confidently stated, “So when I win on November fifth… remember this, we’re going to win. I think we’re going to win maybe bigger than anyone understands.”
WATCH:
“Remember this. We’re gonna win. I think we’re gonna win, maybe bigger than anyone understands.”
Bigger. Than. Anyone. Understands. pic.twitter.com/YNKxZXuFKT
— TheStormHasArrived (@TheStormRedux) October 24, 2024
Later that day, Trump headlined a Turning Point rally in Las Vegas, Nevada, addressing an energized crowd and pointing to his lead over Harris.
“[Kamala is] imploding worse than [Winston Churchill]. She’s actually imploding if you take a look. Because look, I’m not supposed to say it, but we are leading by so much.”
WATCH:
I’m not supposed to say it, but we are leading by so much pic.twitter.com/uF57qL3KrE
— Karli Bonne’ (@KarluskaP) October 25, 2024
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